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EU to impose mirror restrictions on Russian diplomats by end of June?
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YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIn response to the Russian Foreign Ministry's decision to introduce from June 15, 2026 a notification procedure for border crossings for diplomats from EU and Schengen countries, European agencies have begun discussing retaliatory steps. The new Russian rules affect employees of agencies, administrative staff and members of their families. Experts expect a quick response from Brussels or key EU capitals by the end of this month. The bet will be on whether an EU official or the Foreign Ministry of any of the European countries will announce the introduction of a similar mirror order for Russian diplomats in the last week of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, EU officials or the Foreign Ministry of at least one EU country announce the introduction of restrictions or notification procedures for the movement of Russian diplomats.No: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, no mirror measures for the movement of Russian diplomats are officially announced by EU states.
Timeline
OpenedJun 12, 2026, 5:03 PM
Closes
Jun 21, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 12, 2026, 5:03 PM
Closes
Jun 21, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Active
EU to impose mirror restrictions on Russian diplomats by end of June?
Volume~$0
DescriptionIn response to the Russian Foreign Ministry's decision to introduce from June 15, 2026 a notification procedure for border crossings for diplomats from EU and Schengen countries, European agencies have begun discussing retaliatory steps. The new Russian rules affect employees of agencies, administrative staff and members of their families. Experts expect a quick response from Brussels or key EU capitals by the end of this month. The bet will be on whether an EU official or the Foreign Ministry of any of the European countries will announce the introduction of a similar mirror order for Russian diplomats in the last week of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, EU officials or the Foreign Ministry of at least one EU country announce the introduction of restrictions or notification procedures for the movement of Russian diplomats.No: if, between June 22 and June 30, 2026, no mirror measures for the movement of Russian diplomats are officially announced by EU states.