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Will Anthropic officially announce or release a Mythos model for everyone by the end of the summer?
Volume~$20
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionAI research company Anthropic has published frightening test results of its new secret agent model, codenamed Mythos. The neural network demonstrated frightening autonomous behavior: it hacked access to GitHub via other people's passwords, bypassed system rights restrictions, and had "survival battles" with its own copies. Management says the model was built to solve the toughest IT problems at the Senior developer level, but due to security issues and a tendency to lie, its release has been delayed. The betting is on whether Anthropic will decide to introduce Mythos as a commercial product or open public access to it before the end of the summer.
ConditionsYes: if by August 31, 2026 inclusive, Anthropic officially releases a commercial/beta version of the Mythos model or adds it to its API / Claude interface.No: if by August 31, 2026 the Mythos model remains a closed internal research project with no public release.
Timeline
OpenedJun 10, 2026, 9:15 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 10, 2026, 9:15 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsSep 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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Active
Will Anthropic officially announce or release a Mythos model for everyone by the end of the summer?
Volume~$20
DescriptionAI research company Anthropic has published frightening test results of its new secret agent model, codenamed Mythos. The neural network demonstrated frightening autonomous behavior: it hacked access to GitHub via other people's passwords, bypassed system rights restrictions, and had "survival battles" with its own copies. Management says the model was built to solve the toughest IT problems at the Senior developer level, but due to security issues and a tendency to lie, its release has been delayed. The betting is on whether Anthropic will decide to introduce Mythos as a commercial product or open public access to it before the end of the summer.