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The Russian government will submit new amendments on the budget deficit to the State Duma in July?
Volume~$17
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionIn June 2026 at SPIEF, Finance Ministry head Anton Siluanov admitted that the budget deficit for the first quarter exceeded the annual plan, and the treasury requires a serious adjustment. The State Duma has already expanded the powers of the Cabinet to manage money, but Valery Gartung, chairman of the Committee for the Protection of Competition, said that these measures are not enough. Without changing the Central Bank's tight policy and curbing monopoly tariffs, the deficit will remain chronic. The betting will be on whether the Russian government introduces a formal bill to the State Duma with new point-by-point amendments or a large-scale budget sequester (spending cuts) during July.
ConditionsYes: if in the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026 in the Legislative Activity Support System (LAS) or leading media (RBC, TASS) there will be information about the Russian Government's introduction of a new bill to change the budget parameters.No: if in the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026 there will be no new official bills on budget adjustment by the Cabinet of Ministers.
Timeline
OpenedJun 12, 2026, 6:59 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 12, 2026, 6:59 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsAug 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
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heySI1
heySI117 BPCX
Active
The Russian government will submit new amendments on the budget deficit to the State Duma in July?
Volume~$17
DescriptionIn June 2026 at SPIEF, Finance Ministry head Anton Siluanov admitted that the budget deficit for the first quarter exceeded the annual plan, and the treasury requires a serious adjustment. The State Duma has already expanded the powers of the Cabinet to manage money, but Valery Gartung, chairman of the Committee for the Protection of Competition, said that these measures are not enough. Without changing the Central Bank's tight policy and curbing monopoly tariffs, the deficit will remain chronic. The betting will be on whether the Russian government introduces a formal bill to the State Duma with new point-by-point amendments or a large-scale budget sequester (spending cuts) during July.
ConditionsYes: if in the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026 in the Legislative Activity Support System (LAS) or leading media (RBC, TASS) there will be information about the Russian Government's introduction of a new bill to change the budget parameters.No: if in the period from July 1 to July 31, 2026 there will be no new official bills on budget adjustment by the Cabinet of Ministers.