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Will the European gas exchange price (TTF) exceed €53 in the second half of June?

Volume~$90
Political
Stock market
YES chance
DescriptionDisruptions in energy supplies from the Middle East due to military conflict and Iran's suspension of trade through the Strait of Hormuz have driven up costs for European industries. The head of industrial giant ABB Morten Wirod warned that high fuel prices in Europe are guaranteed to persist until 2027. At the moment, current quotes at the key TTF hub are fixed at €50.69 per MWh. The bet is on whether the cost of the nearest gas futures will be able to resume its rise amid the LNG shortage and exceed the €53 mark at least once in the second half of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 16 and June 30, 2026, the exchange price of gas at the TTF hub (as measured by ICE) is > €53.00 per MWh at least once.No: if, between June 16 and June 30, 2026, the exchange price of gas at the TTF hub remains ≤ €53.00 per MWh at all times.
Verification source
Timeline
OpenedJun 9, 2026, 7:49 AM
Closes
Jun 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 9, 2026, 7:49 AM
Closes
Jun 15, 2026, 8:59 PM
Checking results
—
EndsJul 1, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang
23 BPCX
2
joS_edge
joS_edge
22 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
ConicMalraux
ConicMalraux
23 BPCX
2
InsaneHammock
InsaneHammock
22 BPCX
Event results
No results yet
Awaiting summarization

Will the European gas exchange price (TTF) exceed €53 in the second half of June?

Volume~$90
Political
Stock market
DescriptionDisruptions in energy supplies from the Middle East due to military conflict and Iran's suspension of trade through the Strait of Hormuz have driven up costs for European industries. The head of industrial giant ABB Morten Wirod warned that high fuel prices in Europe are guaranteed to persist until 2027. At the moment, current quotes at the key TTF hub are fixed at €50.69 per MWh. The bet is on whether the cost of the nearest gas futures will be able to resume its rise amid the LNG shortage and exceed the €53 mark at least once in the second half of June.
ConditionsYes: if, between June 16 and June 30, 2026, the exchange price of gas at the TTF hub (as measured by ICE) is > €53.00 per MWh at least once.No: if, between June 16 and June 30, 2026, the exchange price of gas at the TTF hub remains ≤ €53.00 per MWh at all times.
Verification source
Event results
No results yet