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On July 6, 2026, will Tokyo, Japan receive more than 20 mm of rainfall in a day?
Volume~$8
YES chance
100 BPCX
100 BPCX
DescriptionThe first decade of July in the capital of Japan coincides with the active period of "Tsuyu" - the season of traditional East Asian prolonged rains. Under the influence of moist Pacific air masses, powerful cloud fronts are regularly formed in the city. The bet is on the high probability of a classic tropical depression passing through, capable of bringing heavy downpours to Tokyo. The bet is on whether forecasters will record more than 20 mm of rainfall during a particular day on July 6.
ConditionsYes: if on July 6, 2026, Tokyo receives ≥ 20.1 mm of precipitation per meteorological day.No: if on July 6, 2026, Tokyo receives strictly ≤ 20.0 mm of daily precipitation.
Timeline
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:58 AM
Closes
Jun 29, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 7, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJun 15, 2026, 7:58 AM
Closes
Jun 29, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 7, 2026, 8:59 PM
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ton_explore
ton_explore8 BPCX
Voted for NO
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Active
On July 6, 2026, will Tokyo, Japan receive more than 20 mm of rainfall in a day?
Volume~$8
DescriptionThe first decade of July in the capital of Japan coincides with the active period of "Tsuyu" - the season of traditional East Asian prolonged rains. Under the influence of moist Pacific air masses, powerful cloud fronts are regularly formed in the city. The bet is on the high probability of a classic tropical depression passing through, capable of bringing heavy downpours to Tokyo. The bet is on whether forecasters will record more than 20 mm of rainfall during a particular day on July 6.